Atlético Mowlins vs Real Nicaragüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mowlins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ISA
2 - 2
AMW
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AMW
4 - 2
RCH
66%
16%
18%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 3
AMW
33%
20%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AMW
6 - 2
RFA
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
INT
0 - 7
AMW
40%
20%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Nicaragüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PCF
6 - 1
RNG
50%
20%
30%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RNG
0 - 3
ISA
56%
18%
26%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RCH
6 - 1
RNG
82%
10%
8%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RNG
1 - 4
GAN
21%
19%
60%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RFA
3 - 2
RNG
73%
15%
13%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |