Atl. Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATM
21%
25%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 2
ATP
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CRZ
4 - 1
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 3
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 1
GOI
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |