Atlético Marte vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
JOC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
4 - 3
ATL
67%
22%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
5 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
0 - 0
FAS
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 2
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JOC
2 - 2
FIR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 0
ONC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
5 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |