Atlético Marte vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALI
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
UES
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FIR
2 - 0
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 1
FIR
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FIR
1 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FIR
1 - 0
VIS
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |