Atlético Marte vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +13 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIR
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ALI
4 - 1
ATL
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 3
AGU
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FAS
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
BAL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
MET
0 - 1
ALI
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |