Tercera Division G11 Round 17

Atlético Marbella vs Real Jaén analysis

Atlético Marbella Real Jaén
40 ELO 52
-5.9% Tilt -1.2%
27475º General ELO ranking 4834º
8797º Country ELO ranking 160º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Atlético Marbella
23.8%
Draw
36.7%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
Atlético Marbella
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.7%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atlético Marbella
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Marbella
Atlético Marbella
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 1964
ALM
C.D. Almería
3 - 2
Atlético Marbella
AMA
43%
24%
33%
39 28 11 0
05 Jan. 1964
LIN
CD Linares
0 - 1
Atlético Marbella
AMA
37%
25%
39%
39 25 14 0
29 Dec. 1963
AMA
Atlético Marbella
0 - 1
CD Ronda
RON
85%
10%
5%
39 26 13 0
22 Dec. 1963
1 - 0
Atlético Marbella
AMA
29%
24%
46%
41 23 18 -2
15 Dec. 1963
AMA
Atlético Marbella
5 - 0
Prieguense A.F.
PRI
87%
9%
4%
40 24 16 +1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 1964
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Adra
ADR
86%
10%
5%
52 22 30 0
05 Jan. 1964
ALM
C.D. Almería
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
31%
24%
45%
53 26 27 -1
29 Dec. 1963
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
CD Linares
LIN
86%
10%
5%
53 25 28 0
22 Dec. 1963
RON
CD Ronda
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
25%
25%
51%
53 25 28 0
15 Dec. 1963
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
90%
7%
3%
53 24 29 0