Atlético Marbella vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MMA
4 - 4
AMA
16%
26%
59%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
AMA
3 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
2%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
EST
1 - 3
AMA
22%
28%
51%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
AMA
3 - 0
ZUB
89%
8%
2%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BEN
1 - 6
AMA
16%
27%
57%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 0
SSC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ATH
2 - 3
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
CEL
4 - 0
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
RAY
0 - 0
CEL
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
ASP
1 - 3
CEL
30%
24%
45%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |