Mancha Real vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAN
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
UDS
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NIJ
0 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
16%
24%
60%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOJ
35%
28%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LOJ
4 - 1
VEL
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
PAL
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
UDS
2 - 4
LOJ
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |