Atlético vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 0
ATM
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 1
ZAR
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 1
LEV
63%
23%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATM
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 1
REC
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 2
BET
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
RSO
0 - 1
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
19%
28%
53%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEV
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |