Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
1 - 1
ATM
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 2
SEV
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
ESP
1 - 4
ZAR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 1
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
ZAR
2 - 2
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 1
ZAR
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |