Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 2-1
Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ATM
1 - 0
RSO
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAB
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
ATM
1 - 2
CCF
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
UDL
0 - 1
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
RMA
2 - 0
MAL
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 0
RMA
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
RMA
17%
26%
57%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |