UCL Group C Round 4

Atlético vs Qarabağ analysis

Atlético Qarabağ
91 ELO 74
-13.4% Tilt -18.3%
General ELO ranking 1384º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79.1%
Atlético
15.8%
Draw
5.1%
Qarabağ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
Atlético
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.2%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
5.1%
Win probability
Qarabağ
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético
-5%
+34%
Qarabağ

ELO progression

Atlético
Qarabağ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2017
ATM
Atlético
1 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
60%
24%
16%
91 88 3 0
25 Oct. 2017
ELC
Elche
1 - 1
Atlético
ATM
14%
24%
62%
91 69 22 0
22 Oct. 2017
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Atlético
ATM
34%
27%
39%
91 87 4 0
18 Oct. 2017
QAR
Qarabağ
0 - 0
Atlético
ATM
11%
23%
65%
92 73 19 -1
14 Oct. 2017
ATM
Atlético
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
25%
23%
51%
92 94 2 0

Matches

Qarabağ
Qarabağ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2017
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 0
FK Sabail
SEB
56%
26%
19%
73 66 7 0
22 Oct. 2017
FKQ
Gabala FK
1 - 0
Qarabağ
QAR
43%
27%
30%
73 72 1 0
18 Oct. 2017
QAR
Qarabağ
0 - 0
Atlético
ATM
11%
23%
65%
73 92 19 0
13 Oct. 2017
SHA
Shamakhi
0 - 2
Qarabağ
QAR
44%
27%
29%
72 72 0 +1
01 Oct. 2017
QAR
Qarabağ
0 - 0
Zira FK
ZIR
44%
28%
28%
73 73 0 -1