Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 2-1
Atlético vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATM
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ATM
2 - 1
BET
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
BAS
0 - 0
ATM
45%
27%
29%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
OVI
0 - 2
ATM
25%
30%
46%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ATM
1 - 3
VCF
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 3
ASS
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
REI
2 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
BAS
0 - 0
ATM
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 1
SOC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 0
BAS
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |