Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 3
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
ATM
15%
23%
62%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATM
20%
24%
57%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ATM
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
7 - 0
LEV
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 3
FCB
2%
9%
89%
|
96 | 10 | 86 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
8 - 0
SAN
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 2
FCB
4%
11%
85%
|
96 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VIF
0 - 7
FCB
5%
13%
82%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |