Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
6 - 0
FCB
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
7 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
3 - 0
VCF
79%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
5 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
65%
17%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |