Atlético Jaén vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
CDA
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VDJ
1 - 3
ATL
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
URG
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 1
ATL
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 2
CDV
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IDJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
CDA
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LID
2 - 3
CAR
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
VDJ
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 0
ATS
78%
15%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |