Atlético Jaén vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BEG
1 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDA
3 - 0
ATL
24%
23%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
4 - 1
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 2
CDR
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
6 - 2
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAE
1 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDR
0 - 0
BAE
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAE
0 - 0
CAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
IDJ
1 - 4
BAE
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |