Atlético Jaén vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 0
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 1
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ICF
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 3
ATL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 1
CDA
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VDJ
1 - 1
ADM
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
URG
1 - 1
ADM
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 4
FUE
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 3
BAE
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |