Atlético Jaén vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FSV
2 - 2
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
4 - 1
JOD
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 2
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAG
47%
27%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDH
2 - 1
ATL
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ADM
5 - 1
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CLO
6 - 2
ADM
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ADM
1 - 1
BAI
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CDV
2 - 2
ADM
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FSV
0 - 4
ADM
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |