Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Atlético GO vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
GOI
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 3
ATL
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
ATL
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 4
PIA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
COR
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |