Atlético Gloriense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATG
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ATG
22%
20%
58%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
AFP
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |