Atlético de Paguera vs Independiente C/r B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LLU
5 - 1
ATL
56%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
ESP
19%
19%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
ATL
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
FER
46%
19%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
5 - 0
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
6 - 0
IND
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 4
SAN
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
IND
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IND
3 - 3
ESP
44%
20%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
IND
35%
20%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |