Atlético CP vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
7º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
3 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |