Atletico Catarinense vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Catarinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
CAC
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 1
BAR
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 1
CAC
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 1
CAC
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 4
CRA
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
FFC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
NES
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |