A. Candeleda vs S. Lanzahita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 0
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCN
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
ATL
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
RAM
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
TIE
3 - 1
ATL
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
S. Lanzahita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 4
SPO
9%
15%
77%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 4
SPO
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOM
0 - 1
SPO
60%
20%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SPO
5 - 1
PIE
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |