Atlético Bucaramanga vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
CHI
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
BUC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
BUC
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 2
PER
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |