Copa Colombia . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 2
COR
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
BUC
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
RSC
4 - 1
BUC
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 1
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |