Tercera Division VIII - Castilla and Leon Round 17

Atl. Astorga vs Real Ávila analysis

Atl. Astorga Real Ávila
36 ELO 33
11.9% Tilt -14.7%
5196º General ELO ranking 4215º
182º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
65.7%
Atl. Astorga
18.1%
Draw
16.2%
Real Ávila

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
Atl. Astorga
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
Real Ávila
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Astorga
-10%
+6%
Real Ávila

ELO progression

Atl. Astorga
Real Ávila
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Astorga
Atl. Astorga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2018
LEO
Júpiter Leonés
0 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AST
30%
25%
45%
36 27 9 0
01 Dec. 2018
AST
Atl. Astorga
4 - 0
SC Uxama
UXA
88%
9%
3%
36 19 17 0
25 Nov. 2018
CEB
Cebrereña
0 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AST
26%
24%
51%
36 23 13 0
17 Nov. 2018
AST
Atl. Astorga
2 - 0
La Bañeza
BAÑ
67%
18%
15%
35 31 4 +1
10 Nov. 2018
CFB
CF Briviesca
2 - 2
Atl. Astorga
AST
19%
23%
58%
35 21 14 0

Matches

Real Ávila
Real Ávila
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2018
AVI
Real Ávila
3 - 1
CD La Granja
GRA
67%
19%
14%
31 23 8 0
01 Dec. 2018
ACF
Arandina
1 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
72%
16%
12%
31 41 10 0
24 Nov. 2018
LEO
Júpiter Leonés
2 - 1
Real Ávila
AVI
30%
24%
47%
32 25 7 -1
18 Nov. 2018
AVI
Real Ávila
2 - 0
SC Uxama
UXA
77%
15%
8%
32 20 12 0
11 Nov. 2018
CEB
Cebrereña
3 - 2
Real Ávila
AVI
21%
22%
57%
33 21 12 -1