Atl. Astorga vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
AST
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
BUR
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
STM
1 - 0
AST
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AST
6 - 1
SDA
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AST
0 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 0
GRA
66%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AVI
2 - 0
NUM
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
2 - 0
LEO
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UXA
1 - 2
NUM
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 2
ACF
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |