Atl. Astorga vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AST
4 - 1
GRA
90%
8%
3%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LVC
1 - 0
AST
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AST
1 - 0
MIR
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 1
AST
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AST
0 - 1
NUM
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
CUL
2 - 2
SAB
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CUL
4 - 1
YEC
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
CUL
2 - 1
ZAM
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
CUL
1 - 2
VAL
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 4
CUL
22%
25%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |