Atlético Arcos vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
14º
35
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PEV
1 - 3
ATA
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ATA
2 - 1
VIA
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATA
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATA
1 - 0
JOA
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 0
ATA
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 0
TIR
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 2
TIR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
TIR
3 - 0
PEV
47%
28%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIA
3 - 2
TIR
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |