Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura Temporada regular. Jor. 17

Atlante FC vs Durango analysis

Atlante FC Durango
74 ELO 61
-18.4% Tilt -3.8%
872º General ELO ranking 2242º
14º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Atlante FC
25.1%
Draw
16.2%
Durango

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Atlante FC
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.2%
Win probability
Durango
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlante FC
+15%
-3%
Durango

Points and table prediction

Atlante FC
Their league position
Durango
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
19
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celaya
37
37
100%
CD Tapatío
31
31
100%
CA Morelia
30
30
100%
Atlante FC
28
28
100%
Tepatitlán FC
25
25
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
25
25
100%
Raya2 Expansión
24
24
100%
Tlaxcala FC
23
23
100%
Venados FC
22
22
0%
Pumas Tabasco
11º
22
22
10º
0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
10º
22
22
11º
100%
Correcaminos UAT
12º
22
22
12º
0%
Leones Negros
13º
21
21
13º
0%
CA La Paz
14º
21
21
14º
0%
Cancún
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Durango
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Mineros de Zacatecas
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Dorados
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atlante FC
Durango
Final Series
100% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Atlante FC
Durango
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2023
CAP
CA La Paz
1 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
23%
28%
49%
74 58 16 0
07 Apr. 2023
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
61%
24%
15%
74 59 15 0
31 Mar. 2023
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
0 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
30%
27%
43%
73 64 9 +1
26 Mar. 2023
ATL
Atlante FC
0 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
58%
25%
16%
74 62 12 -1
24 Mar. 2023
ATL
Atlante FC
0 - 2
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
64%
23%
13%
74 58 16 0

Matches

Durango
Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2023
DUR
Durango
2 - 5
CD Tapatío
CDT
46%
26%
28%
63 62 1 0
05 Apr. 2023
RYD
Raya2 Expansión
1 - 1
Durango
DUR
39%
28%
34%
61 59 2 +2
30 Mar. 2023
DUR
Durango
1 - 0
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
48%
25%
27%
62 60 2 -1
27 Mar. 2023
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
1 - 2
Durango
DUR
38%
27%
35%
61 60 1 +1
23 Mar. 2023
DUR
Durango
1 - 1
Pumas Tabasco
SPT
52%
25%
24%
61 55 6 0
X