Atlanta vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
PLA
2 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAF
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ALB
2 - 2
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SAR
1 - 2
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SAR
1 - 2
ARQ
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SMG
0 - 1
SAR
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SAR
3 - 0
BRO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CCO
2 - 1
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |