Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MIT
0 - 1
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 1
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
TEM
39%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 3
FER
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 1
FER
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
MOR
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
FER
44%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |