Atlanta vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
32%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 0
ATL
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
INS
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAF
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 3
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |