Atios B vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atios B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
XIN
3 - 1
ATI
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATI
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATI
0 - 4
SJR
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COV
0 - 3
ATI
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATI
3 - 0
NES
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
4 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 0
RIB
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 3
MOS
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 1
ARB
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |