Atibaia vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 1
TAB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
ATI
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
ATI
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
4 - 2
IND
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
RIO
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
29%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
4 - 1
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |