Athletic Sub 19 vs Real Madrid Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 2
TOL
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 5
ATH
6%
12%
82%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 0
UDL
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 5
ATH
5%
12%
83%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 2
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 1
RBS
43%
22%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 0
RCA
94%
4%
2%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 0
LEO
97%
3%
1%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 2
RMA
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | +1 |