Athletic vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 2
RAY
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 0
MLL
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
YOB
1 - 4
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
OSA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
BET
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |