Athletic vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 1
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
OST
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
SDF
1 - 1
ATH
8%
19%
74%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LEG
1 - 0
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
SLP
0 - 2
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
VIL
15%
26%
60%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
UDL
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |