Athletic vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ELC
2 - 3
ATH
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
RSO
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CCF
0 - 1
ATH
21%
27%
52%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ELC
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
VIL
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 0
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |