Athletic vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
ALB
1 - 0
ATH
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
CDT
2 - 1
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
ATH
0 - 0
RSO
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
ATH
1 - 2
RAC
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
SEV
1 - 3
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
LLE
1 - 1
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
LLE
0 - 0
RAC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
ATM
0 - 0
LLE
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
LLE
1 - 1
OVI
41%
29%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
DEP
2 - 0
LLE
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |