Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1920 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
0 - 1
ATH
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 29 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
2 - 1
RVS
91%
6%
2%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
4 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
SPO
0 - 0
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1919 |
RVS
3 - 0
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1919 |
SPO
1 - 1
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1919 |
RVS
2 - 2
SPO
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 25 | 47 | 0 |