Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
0 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
RAC
3 - 4
ATH
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
VAD
2 - 0
ATH
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 1
MLL
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATM
76%
14%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
RMA
4 - 2
TER
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 1
RMA
31%
25%
45%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2003 |
TER
3 - 3
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |