Athletic vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATH
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
MAL
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
ATH
5 - 2
SEV
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
CAS
2 - 0
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
BET
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
CAS
4 - 0
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |