Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
0 - 0
ATH
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 2
ATH
26%
26%
47%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ATH
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 2
ATH
26%
25%
49%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 4
FCB
3%
10%
88%
|
98 | 51 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
LEG
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 3
FCB
32%
22%
46%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BET
2 - 2
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |