Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 0
RAC
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BET
1 - 0
ATH
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RAP
1 - 1
ATH
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 1
EIB
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
7 - 0
HER
96%
3%
1%
|
95 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 1
ESP
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 5
FCB
6%
13%
81%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 3
FCB
5%
13%
83%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 0
MON
82%
11%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |