Bilbao Ath. vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
ATH
1 - 2
XER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
REC
2 - 2
ATH
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
ATH
2 - 2
SSC
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
ATH
3 - 0
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATH
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
HER
2 - 0
FCB
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
RAC
2 - 0
HER
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
HER
3 - 1
RBU
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |