Bilbao Ath. vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
MIR
2 - 1
ATH
55%
24%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAU
0 - 2
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATH
4 - 4
PEG
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
COM
2 - 1
ATH
40%
28%
31%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MIR
6 - 2
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
1 - 0
UPL
41%
30%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAU
0 - 2
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAU
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
CAU
1 - 1
SSC
46%
29%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CFP
1 - 1
CAU
66%
23%
11%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |