Atco. Villanueva vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COS
2 - 3
ATC
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATC
4 - 0
FUT
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 3
ATC
79%
14%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ATC
3 - 4
ALM
28%
23%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
ATC
52%
23%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
EGA
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 3
MON
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
PAL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RAM
1 - 2
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |